“Of the gross revenue, only N2.3 trillion (68%) was distributed among the three tiers of government, while N1.1 trillion (32%) was deducted at the source.
This high deduction rate, driven primarily by intervention funds, effectively realigns fiscal resources and constrains subnational fiscal capacity.”
Oye noted that “the federal government’s direct allocation of 35.4% represents only part of its fiscal command. When combined with its administrative control over the N1.1 trillion in deductions, particularly the substantial intervention funds, the central government effectively manages a significantly larger share of the nation’s gross revenue.”
He added that the “Total deductions amounted to M1.10 trillion, representing 32% of gross revenue. While this marks a 7% decline compared to April 2026, the absolute magnitude remains structurally significant.”
On recommendations, Oye said the May 2026 FAAC disbursement highlights the urgent need for comprehensive fiscal reform as the current trajectory is fiscally unsustainable and undermines equitable federalism principles.
According to him, “The federal government must institutionalise a cap on pre-distribution deductions as a percentage of gross revenue. Opaque intervention funds should transition into regular budgetary appropriations subject to National Assembly oversight.
“To enhance subnational fiscal viability, the vertical allocation formula requires structural revision. Increasing the share allocated to States and Local Governments would better align resources with constitutional responsibilities.
“The federation must legally mandate a minimum savings threshold (e.g., 5-10% of gross revenue) into the Sovereign Wealth Fund prior to distribution.
“The significant shortfalls indicate systemic flaws in budget revenue forecasting. Adopting more conservative, data-driven revenue projections is essential.”
Oye added, “The May 2026 FAAC disbursement data reveals a federation navigating complex fiscal dynamics. While nominal revenue growth of 6.9% suggests positive momentum, the underlying structural issues, high deduction rates, substantial budget shortfalls, and minimal savings, demand immediate policy attention.
“The concentration of fiscal resources at the center, coupled with the opacity of intervention funds, undermines the federalist principles upon which Nigeria’s fiscal architecture is built. Sustainable fiscal federalism requires transparent, equitable, and accountable management of the nation’s financial resources.”
